Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

$46.03K Vol.

|

Oct 20, 2026

Remain 60–80%13%

Remain 40–60%62%

Remain 20–40%23%

Remain <20%1%

Remain 80%+

$3.15K Vol.

<1%

Remain 60–80%

$6.55K Vol.

14%

Remain 40–60%

$9.75K Vol.

63%

Remain 20–40%

$11.64K Vol.

25%

Remain <20%

$3.29K Vol.

1%

Leave wins

$11.65K Vol.

1%

	Outcome	Volume	Chance
	Remain 80%+	$3.15K	<1%
	Remain 60–80%	$6.55K	14%
	Remain 40–60%	$9.75K	63%
	Remain 20–40%	$11.64K	25%
	Remain <20%	$3.29K	1%
	Leave wins	$11.65K	1%

	Trader	Outcomes	Invested	Open PnL	ROI

Remain 60–80%

Remain 60–80%

Limit Price

¢

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Expires