CA-28 House Election Margin of Victory

$1.55K Vol.

|

Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 45%+45%

Democrat 40-45%46%

Democrat 35-40%77%

Democrat 30-35%45%

Democrat 45%+

$90 Vol.

89%

Democrat 40-45%

$187.3 Vol.

92%

Democrat 35-40%

$370.53 Vol.

96%

Democrat 30-35%

$110 Vol.

90%

Democrat 25-30%

$117.84 Vol.

70%

Democrat 20-25%

$139.13 Vol.

78%

Democrat 15-20%

$110 Vol.

88%

Democrat 5-15%

$99.69 Vol.

30%

	Outcome	Volume	Chance
	Democrat 45%+	$90	89%
	Democrat 40-45%	$187.3	92%
	Democrat 35-40%	$370.53	96%
	Democrat 30-35%	$110	90%
	Democrat 25-30%	$117.84	70%
	Democrat 20-25%	$139.13	78%
	Democrat 15-20%	$110	88%
	Democrat 5-15%	$99.69	30%

	Trader	Outcomes	Invested	Open PnL	ROI

Democrat 35-40%

Democrat 35-40%

Limit Price

¢

Shares

Expires

	Trader	Outcomes	Invested	Open PnL	ROI
		10	$46.28	+$14.23	+30.7%
		1	$5.48	+$8.05	+146.9%
		1	$8.8	+$7.6	+86.4%
		5	$5.16	+$3.58	+69.4%
		1	$94.64	+$3.27	+3.5%
		1	$2.78	+$2.2	+79.2%
		2	$78	+$0.6	+0.8%
		1	$14.4	+$0.49	+3.4%
		1	$19.4	+$0.46	+2.4%
		2	$43.22	+$0.43	+1%
		2	$89.02	+$0.2	+0.2%
		1	$89.02	+$0.08	+0.1%
		1	$89.02	+$0.08	+0.1%
		2	$89.55	+$0.06	+0.1%
		1	$26.44	$0	0%
		3	$0.6	$0	0%
		1	$1	$0	0%
		7	$1.81	-$0.22	-12.1%
		6	$1.63	-$0.57	-35%
		1	$0.7	-$0.69	-99%

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