NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

$68K Vol.

|

Nov 8, 2026

Labour 15%+<1%

Labour 10-15%<1%

Labour 0-5%96%

National 0-5%4%

Labour 15%+

$3.15K Vol.

<1%

Labour 10-15%

$7.41K Vol.

<1%

Labour 5-10%

$7.52K Vol.

<1%

Labour 0-5%

$19.97K Vol.

97%

National 0-5%

$16.15K Vol.

6%

National 5-10%

$2.86K Vol.

<1%

National 10%+

$9.81K Vol.

<1%

Another Party Wins

$1.14K Vol.

<1%

	Outcome	Volume	Chance
	Labour 15%+	$3.15K	<1%
	Labour 10-15%	$7.41K	<1%
	Labour 5-10%	$7.52K	<1%
	Labour 0-5%	$19.97K	97%
	National 0-5%	$16.15K	6%
	National 5-10%	$2.86K	<1%
	National 10%+	$9.81K	<1%
	Another Party Wins	$1.14K	<1%

	Trader	Outcomes	Invested	Open PnL	ROI

Labour 10-15%

Labour 10-15%

Limit Price

¢

Shares

Expires

	Trader	Outcomes	Invested	Open PnL	ROI
		2	$3.97K	+$294.63	+7.4%
		3	$1.63K	+$111.32	+6.8%
		4	$275.13	+$108.54	+39.4%
		1	$225.62	+$106.96	+47.4%
		5	$104.62	+$86.76	+82.9%
		7	$33.35	+$76.8	+230.3%
		1	$1.64K	+$57.5	+3.5%
		5	$278.88	+$35.43	+12.7%
		1	$241.43	+$26.56	+11%
		1	$12.2	+$26.12	+214.1%
		6	$471.94	+$24.96	+5.3%
		3	$245.6	+$21.17	+8.6%
		6	$450.01	+$17.61	+3.9%
		7	$256.12	+$16.21	+6.3%
		1	$38.89	+$14.06	+36.2%
		1	$10.76	+$13	+120.8%
		1	$23.06	+$10.21	+44.3%
		5	$346.75	+$10.01	+2.9%
		3	$18.87	+$9.43	+50%
		1	$23.98	+$8.37	+34.9%

Showing 1 - 20 of 216 rows

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