What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

$1.81M Vol.

|

Jan 1, 2027

Dilution of Iran's Uranium10%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium7%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)7%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)7%

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

$323.52K Vol.

11%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$219.3K Vol.

8%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$397.9K Vol.

8%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$325.77K Vol.

8%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$380.73K Vol.

7%

Enriched Uranium Surrender

$160.42K Vol.

5%

	Outcome	Volume	Chance
	Dilution of Iran's Uranium	$323.52K	11%
	1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium	$219.3K	8%
	Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)	$397.9K	8%
	≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)	$325.77K	8%
	Iran Reconstruction Funding	$380.73K	7%
	Enriched Uranium Surrender	$160.42K	5%

	Trader	Outcomes	Invested	Open PnL	ROI

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

Limit Price

¢

Shares

Expires

	Trader	Outcomes	Invested	Open PnL	ROI
		4	$35.15K	+$2.28K	+6.5%
		3	$25.1K	+$1.58K	+6.3%
		1	$4.44K	+$722.15	+16.3%
		2	$11.15K	+$570.39	+5.1%
		1	$6.62K	+$503.75	+7.6%
		5	$7.34K	+$499.73	+6.8%
		2	$3.67K	+$290.83	+7.9%
		3	$1.54K	+$280.16	+18.2%
		3	$777.26	+$278.7	+35.9%
		2	$4.78K	+$259.84	+5.4%
		3	$3.98K	+$245.11	+6.2%
		3	$2.39K	+$216.22	+9.1%
		1	$2.23K	+$201.45	+9%
		1	$2.2K	+$125	+5.7%
		1	$345	+$115	+33.3%
		4	$579.88	+$112.86	+19.5%
		2	$1.33K	+$105.22	+7.9%
		1	$447.32	+$102.68	+23%
		5	$364.24	+$95.75	+26.3%
		2	$4.97K	+$94.66	+1.9%

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