What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

$1.34M Vol.

|

Jan 1, 2027

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)14%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)13%

Dilution of Iran's Uranium12%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium10%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$235.53K Vol.

15%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$272.04K Vol.

14%

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

$202.68K Vol.

13%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$187.61K Vol.

11%

Enriched Uranium Surrender

$101.43K Vol.

9%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$345.7K Vol.

7%

	Outcome	Volume	Chance
	Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)	$235.53K	15%
	≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)	$272.04K	14%
	Dilution of Iran's Uranium	$202.68K	13%
	1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium	$187.61K	11%
	Enriched Uranium Surrender	$101.43K	9%
	Iran Reconstruction Funding	$345.7K	7%

All users vs

	Outcome	Yes $	Smart Lean	No $	Edge
	Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)
	≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)
	Dilution of Iran's Uranium
Yes No
	1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium
	Enriched Uranium Surrender
	Iran Reconstruction Funding

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

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