
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?
$193.13K Vol.
|Nov 4, 2026
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate69%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate28%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate2%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate2%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
$57.27K Vol.
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
$48.46K Vol.
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
$32.32K Vol.
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
$55.09K Vol.
Outcome | Volume | Chance | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate | $57.27K | 70% | ||
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate | $48.46K | 29% | ||
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate | $32.32K | 3% | ||
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate | $55.09K | 2% |
Trader | Outcomes | Invested | Open PnL | ROI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|