
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
$97.01K Vol.
|Nov 4, 2026
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate62%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate32%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate4%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate3%

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
$1.74K Vol.

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
$18.53K Vol.

Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
$41.39K Vol.

Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
$35.34K Vol.
Outcome | Volume | Chance | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate | $1.74K | 62% | ||
![]() No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate | $18.53K | 32% | ||
![]() Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate | $41.39K | 4% | ||
![]() Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate | $35.34K | 3% |
Trader | Outcomes | Invested | Open PnL | ROI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|