Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
$379.68K Vol.
|Nov 4, 2026
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate69%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate30%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate<1%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate<1%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
$60.05K Vol.
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
$77.03K Vol.
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
$121.59K Vol.
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
$121.01K Vol.
Outcome | Volume | Chance | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate | $60.05K | 69% | ||
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate | $77.03K | 30% | ||
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate | $121.59K | <1% | ||
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate | $121.01K | <1% |
Trader | Outcomes | Invested | Open PnL | ROI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|