Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
$398.46K Vol.
|Nov 4, 2026
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate65%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate34%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate<1%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate<1%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
$66.76K Vol.
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
$83.72K Vol.
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
$125.45K Vol.
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
$122.53K Vol.
Outcome | Volume | Chance | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate | $66.76K | 66% | ||
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate | $83.72K | 34% | ||
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate | $125.45K | <1% | ||
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate | $122.53K | <1% |
All users vs
Outcome | Yes $ | Smart Lean | No $ | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate | |||||
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate | |||||
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate | |||||
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate | |||||
Yes No | |||||