Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
$222.96K Vol.
|Nov 4, 2026
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate64%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate32%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate3%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate2%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
$39.52K Vol.
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
$53.9K Vol.
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
$65.82K Vol.
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
$63.73K Vol.
Outcome | Volume | Chance | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate | $39.52K | 64% | ||
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate | $53.9K | 32% | ||
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate | $65.82K | 3% | ||
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate | $63.73K | 2% |
Trader | Outcomes | Invested | Open PnL | ROI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|