Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
$394.41K Vol.
|Nov 4, 2026
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate68%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate32%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate<1%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate<1%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
$64.74K Vol.
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
$81.71K Vol.
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
$125.43K Vol.
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
$122.53K Vol.
Outcome | Volume | Chance | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate | $64.74K | 69% | ||
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate | $81.71K | 32% | ||
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate | $125.43K | <1% | ||
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate | $122.53K | <1% |
Trader | Outcomes | Invested | Open PnL | ROI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|