US economic state at the end of 2026?

$98.8K Vol.

Feb 1, 2027

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)63%

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)28%

Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)1%

Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)1%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$31.8K Vol.

69%

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)

$47.04K Vol.

28%

Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)

$6.62K Vol.

Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$13.34K Vol.

Outcome	Volume	Chance
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)	$31.8K	69%
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)	$47.04K	28%
Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)	$6.62K	2%
Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)	$13.34K	1%

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)

Limit Price

Expires